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Article: "Deficits In Trade And Deficits In Understanding"

5/28/2017

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Published in Forbes Opinion

Donald Trump has asserted the need to cut the $500 billion U.S. trade deficit, yet support for his proposal is based on misconceptions about what this deficit means. During the 1970s, importing more than you exported was problematic, as was the breakup of the Beatles. Today, neither matters.

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Quotation: "Why oil is plunging even after OPEC extended its landmark output-cut deal"

5/25/2017

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Published in MarketWatch

“The key unknown is the flexibility and competitiveness of the U.S. shale-oil sector,” said Omar Al-Ubaydli, a program director at the Bahrain Center for Strategic, International and Energy Studies. “Until U.S. shale oil technology progress stabilizes, if at all, the key threat to OPEC will remain shrouded in mystery.”

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Article: "Economics 101: Why state budgets are harder in the GCC"

5/24/2017

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Published in The National

The Arab Gulf countries’ plentiful oil confers many benefits upon their citizens, but the Opec meeting on May 25 reminds us of one of the key downsides: long-term budgetary planning is fiendishly difficult when your finances are at the mercy of the "black gold". Why is that the case?

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Video: "Saudi Arabia Ikhbariyya: Economics Hour"

5/24/2017

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Article: "How Geopolitics Saved OPEC"

5/23/2017

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Published in the Middle East Policy Council
النسخة العربية أدناه

In November 2016, OPEC’s obituary was ready, and geopolitics was a leading coauthor. If two of the most important OPEC members—Iran and Saudi Arabia—lacked diplomatic relations, how could they trust each other to adhere to production quotas?

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في نوفمبر 2016، كانت أوبك على وشك الانهيار، وكانت الاعتبارات الجيو-سياسية من أهم الأسباب؛ ففي ظل انقطاع العلاقات الدبلوماسية بين اثنتين من أهم الدول الأعضاء – إيران والسعودية – كيف يمكن لكل من الدولتين أن تثق في التزام الأخرى بحصص الإنتاج؟

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    Omar Al-Ubaydli

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Omar Al-Ubaydli
Bahrain Center for Strategic, International and Energy Studies
PO Box 496, Manama
Kingdom of Bahrain
Email: omar@omar.ec
Tel: +973-17-752-742
Fax: +973-17-754-835
Twitter: @omareconomics
© COPYRIGHT 2015. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
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