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Article: "Economics 101: Wages reflect revenue a job generates, but the GCC is special"

11/26/2016

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Published in The National

Under normal circumstances (the GCC is not included; see below), a company agrees to pay you a wage for one reason only: the tasks that you perform generate revenues for the company. It can be direct, such as when a sales assistant sells a company’s product on its behalf; or it can be indirect, such as when an IT technician fixes the computer that the sales assistant uses.

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Quotation: "How an OPEC output deal could catapult U.S. producers back to stardom"

11/24/2016

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Published on MarketWatch

Omar Al-Ubaydli, a program director at the Bahrain Center for Strategic, International and Energy Studies, singled out two scenarios. “Either they agree on each country producing optimally from its own perspective, and they will present it as if it is a collective agreement…or they will try to agree on something substantive and fail,” he said.

In both cases, he expects to see only a “negligible effect” on prices as “oil markets are getting a little wiser to OPEC’s ineffectiveness and window-dressing.”

Still, Al-Ubaydli, does see a downside price risk. “Trump is likely to enact policies that decrease U.S. oil imports,” he said. And a rise in shale oil production means that “prices above $60 a barrel are unlikely.”

That said, “Trump’s policies will have an effect once their precise details are confirmed,” said Al-Ubaydli. “Everyone is holding their breath.”

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Article: "It's Time To Stop Paying Attention To OPEC"

11/23/2016

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Published in Forbes Opinion

Why are there no analogues to an OPEC meeting in any other globally traded commodity, like cars, eggs, paintings, or perfume? Let us momentarily set that question aside, and focus on the seemingly unrelated fact that the OPEC news cycle has become excruciatingly predictable.

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Article: "Economics 101: Mechanics behind fiscal union and why it can work for the GCC"

11/19/2016

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Published in The National

A former president of the European Commission, Jacques Delors, has been finger-wagging about the need for fiscal union for about 20 years. Will it solve the euro zone’s problems?

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Article: "The Success of Emirates, Qatar, and Etihad Airways Concerns Their Competitors" (جاح «الإماراتية» و «الاتحاد» و «القطرية» يقلق منافساتها)

11/16/2016

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نُنشر في صحيفة الحياة
English version below

أثار نجاح كل من «الخطوط الجوية الإماراتية»، و«القطرية» و«الاتحاد»، قلق المنافسة العالمية، ما دفع بعض شركات الطيران الأخرى لرفع دعاوى ضد شركات الطيران الخليجية هذه، تتهمها بالاستفادة من دعم «غير عادل» من حكوماتها، مثلاً توفير قروض من دون فائدة. وأصبح استعداد المواطنين الخليجيين لتقبّل هذه التهم أمراً غريباً، حيث إنّهم يتصورون أنّ نجاحات الخطوط الجوية وهمية، قائمة على «منشطات مالية» لا تقدّم لمنافسيهاـ

المزيد
The recent success of Emirates, Etihad, and Qatar Airways has concerned global competitors, who have responded with government-mediated complaints alleging of “unfair” assistance from the Gulf governments, such as interest-free loans.

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Omar Al-Ubaydli
Bahrain Center for Strategic, International and Energy Studies
PO Box 496, Manama
Kingdom of Bahrain
Email: [email protected]
Tel: +973-17-752-742
Fax: +973-17-754-835
Twitter: @omareconomics
© COPYRIGHT 2015. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
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